02 Apr COVID-19: England’s R number could be as high as 1 – as no figure for whole of UK given by SAGE advisers | UK News
England’s R number could be as high as 1, say SAGE advisers who have not given a UK figure for the first time.
Government scientists estimated England’s R number to be between 0.8 and 1, meaning that every 10 people who test positive for COVID-19 will pass it on to an average of eight to 10 others.
The government says that “given the increasingly localised approach to managing the epidemic”, the UK figures for R and growth rate are “less meaningful than previously and may not accurately reflect the current picture”.
R – or the reproduction number – represents the average number of people someone with coronavirus will go on to infect. If the figure is above 1 the epidemic will grow exponentially, but if it is below 1 it is getting smaller.
The growth rate of the virus in England is now estimated to be -4% to 0%, which means that the number of new COVID infections is shrinking by between 4% and 0% every day.